Contact us
Prediction-Machine is STAR Systems' fully built forecasting platform combining LMSR automated market making, on-chain settlement, and live OSINT signal ingestion in a single auditable system.







Every trade travels through a deterministic pipeline — from real-world OSINT ingestion, through on-chain AMM pricing, to final database settlement.
External intelligence is ingested via the OSINT API and persisted as structured evidence against live markets.
The market engine calculates the cost function for any trade size using binary search, returning a deterministic, guaranteed price.
The smart contract emits a TradeExecuted event, creating an immutable on-chain record synced back to PostgreSQL.
Admins resolve markets by linking OSINT evidence to the outcome. Positions are settled and logged for audit.
Most prediction market implementations cut corners on correctness, auditability, or ownership. Here's how Prediction-Machine compares.
| CAPABILITY | PREDICTION-MACHINE | TYPICAL VENDOR |
|---|---|---|
| Mathematically correct LMSR with unit tests | ✓ | ✕ |
| On-chain settlement with verifiable events | ✓ | Often off-chain |
| OSINT-driven resolution evidence | ✓ | ✕ |
| Full market state replayable from database | ✓ | Partial |
| Immutable admin audit trail | ✓ | ✕ |
| Source code ownership — no vendor lock-in | ✓ | SaaS only |
| Dockerized, cloud or on-premise deployment | ✓ | Cloud only |
Every number below reflects a deliberate engineering decision not an estimate.
Smart contract events tracked end-to-end
Core database schemas with full relational integrity
LMSR correctness verified via automated test suite
Third-party market dependencies — fully self-contained
The stack was chosen for auditability, ownership, and long-term maintainability — not for convenience.
We’re happy to answer any questions you may have and help you determine which of our services best fit your needs.
We Schedule a call at your convenience
We do a discovery and meeting
We prepare a proposal